Top Pros' Top Picks

Profit from Green Shoots in Nuclear
Specialty: STOCKS
Keyword Image
Published: 12/24/2012
By Benjamin Shepherd, Editor, KCI Investing
Tickers mentioned: CCJ

The Japanese China Syndrome was a matter of extremely bad luck and old nukes showing their age under extreme conditions. The new nuke age is upon us, and it's much safer and more reliable-and will continue to grow, writes Benjamin Shepherd of Global Investment Strategist.

For nearly two years, the nuclear industry has had a mushroom cloud hanging over its head. As Germany and a number of other European governments began discussions about abandoning nuclear power in the wake of the Fukushima Daiichi disaster, investors have been leery of anything even remotely related to nuclear power.

A nuclear renaissance is unfolding in the emerging world as China, Russia, and other nations continue building reactors at a rapid clip, because of their low emissions and reliable, long-term operation. Uranium miners represent the purest exposure to this growing demand in nuclear energy.

Miners have been under severe pressure recently, as cheap natural gas in the US has made gas-fueled electricity generation more attractive. Global uranium demand also has dipped slightly due to the shutdown of eight German reactors. That's led several major research firms to downgrade uranium miners, including Cameco (CCJ). However, downgrades of Cameco are shortsighted.

Driving the negative sentiment are low uranium prices, which are off by more than 60% since their highs of four years ago. This weak price environment has pushed several smaller miners out of the market, because their production wasn't economical at current price levels.

Cameco is the largest and lowest-cost uranium producer in the world, on track to produce 36 million pounds by 2018. It will be helped towards that production goal when operations commence at its Cigar Lake joint venture in Saskatchewan, Canada, one of the richest sources of uranium in North America.

While Cameco has been shouldered with a low selling price for its ore over the past two years, it should see higher prices in the future, as long-term supply contracts expire and the company renegotiates them at more favorable terms.

I expect uranium prices to rise over the near term, because production is currently running at a 40 million pound deficit to demand. That deficit has been made up by dipping into existing stocks and using uranium from dismantled nuclear warheads. But uranium demand should begin taking off over the next two years as new reactors come online.

In particular, Cameco will benefit from surging Chinese demand for uranium. The company is the primary supplier of the country's ore, under a contract that runs through 2025.

Although uranium demand has been relatively weak over the past year, Cameco has managed to grow its revenue by nearly 12% while maintaining a net margin of 21%, thanks to its low-cost operations. The company also carries very little debt and has grown its dividend by more than 15% over the past five years.

Cameco's shares will likely remain volatile over the short term because of analyst pessimism, but it faces extremely attractive long-term prospects. Take advantage of the stock's current weakness and buy Cameco.

Subscribe to Global Investment Strategist here...

Related Reading:

A Bright Future for Natural Gas

One Metal to Rule Them All

An Energy Trend That Runs Deep

TRADESHOW LOCATIONS

Show Logo
San Francisco
 • August 15 – 17, 2013
Show Logo
Chicago
 • October 3 – 5, 2013
Free eLetters

Receive all-new market analysis and commentary, timely recommendations, exclusive videos, and much more from hundreds of top experts. Subscribe today!

INVESTING ELETTERS

   More Details

Daily Investing Alert

Weekly Investing eLetter

Hot Off The Tape Weekly Video eLetter

TRADING ELETTERS

   More Details

Daily Trading Alert

Trading Lessons

Trader Talk Podcast

Most Popular

Keyword Image 4 Best Next Boom Stocks
There's no denying that the last couple of weeks have been very bullish for stocks with major indices...
The Week Ahead: More Pain or More Gain?
10 Food Stocks with Tasty Potential
A Technical Look at Fundamentals
Sponsored Links

Procter & Gamble Company

P&G serves approximately 4.6 billion people around the world with its brands. The company has…

Aflac Incorporated

For more than 50 years, Aflac products have given policyholders the opportunity to direct cash…

Best Choice Software, Inc.

Seasonal/Cycle Charts are the newest and latest development by Best Choice Software and have…

American Water Works Company, Inc.

American Water was founded in 1886 and is the largest publicly traded US water and wastewater…