Jubak Picks Portfolio

A Drug Name with a Huge Pipeline
Specialty: STOCKS
Keyword Image
Published: 12/14/2012
By Jim Jubak, Senior Markets Editor, MoneyShow.com
Tickers mentioned: NVS, BMY

And it's actually growing, with more than a dozen blockbuster drugs scheduled to go on sale in the next few years, writes MoneyShow's Jim Jubak, also of Jubak's Picks.

On December 7 in this post, I added Novartis (NVS) to my Jubak's Picks portfolio to replace Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)

In that post, I wrote that even though the drug sector was about to put the worst of its cascade of patent expirations behind it, a big fat pipeline full of lots of potential blockbusters was still a key attribute for a drug stock.

In 2011, the company forecast that its pipeline would deliver seven blockbuster drugs by 2017. This year, Novartis raised its target to 14 blockbusters by 2017. (The pipeline looks like more than enough to offset the erosion on Glivec, which will lose patent protection in stages through 2023.)

Blockbuster candidates include cancer drugs Afinitor and Jakavi (for breast cancer), the Q-family of respiratory drugs (including QVA, Seebri, and Onbrez), Gilenya for MS, and Galvus for diabetes.

Novartis has one of the most cost-effective drug research operations in the industry. The company spends about $4 billion per new molecular entity, versus the industry average of $5 billion.

I'm setting a target price of $71 a share by October 2013. The stock pays a 3.93% dividend yield.

Full disclosure: I don't own shares of any of the companies mentioned in this post in my personal portfolio. The mutual fund I manage, Jubak Global Equity Fund , may or may not now own positions in any stock mentioned in this post. The fund did not own shares of Novartis as of the end of September. For a full list of the stocks in the fund as of the end of September see the fund's portfolio here.

TRADESHOW LOCATIONS

Show Logo
San Francisco
 • August 15 – 17, 2013
Free eLetters

Receive all-new market analysis and commentary, timely recommendations, exclusive videos, and much more from hundreds of top experts. Subscribe today!

INVESTING ELETTERS

   More Details

Daily Investing Alert

Weekly Investing eLetter

Hot Off The Tape Weekly Video eLetter

TRADING ELETTERS

   More Details

Daily Trading Alert

Trading Lessons

Trader Talk Podcast

Most Popular

Keyword Image The Week Ahead: Will 2013 Be Another Double-Digit Year?
A test of all-time stock highs looks highly likely next year, but the market's reaction to fiscal...
15 Most Overbought S&P 500 Stocks
Large-Cap Winners & Losers
Investors Bearish...Time to Buy!
Sponsored Links

Aflac Incorporated

For more than 50 years, Aflac products have given policyholders the opportunity to direct cash…

Procter & Gamble Company

P&G serves approximately 4.6 billion people around the world with its brands. The company has…

Best Choice Software, Inc.

Seasonal/Cycle Charts are the newest and latest development by Best Choice Software and have…

American Water Works Company, Inc.

American Water was founded in 1886 and is the largest publicly traded US water and wastewater…