February 9 2010 12:55 PM  |  Make Us Your Home Page
Not a Member? Register | Login
Home  >  Investing  >  Stocks, Bonds, & Commodities  >  Article
PRINT
FREE E-Letters & Alerts
Comment
Bookmark and Share

Monday, April 06, 2009
A Small Growth Stock for the Market’s Turn

James Oberweis, editor of The Oberweis Report, continues to like small-growth stocks at this stage in the economic cycle, and he names one he particularly favors.

Despite the market’s innumerable risks and plentiful flaws, investors are, well, suddenly smitten. Since the market low (below 667) on March 6th, the Standard & Poor’s 500 index has gained 19% and the Russell 2000 Growth Index 21%, one of the best three-week performance periods on record.

Admittedly, we were overdue for a rally. In early March, stocks were trading at their cheapest valuations in 30 years. Many businesses levered to the economy traded below book value, and a few were even going for less than the value of their cash in the bank.

The degree to which stocks sunk was unprecedented since the Great Depression, yet the economic fundamentals were and are far better than in the 1930s. With that in mind, a rally off the lows following a period of indiscriminate and fear-driven selling was not unreasonable.

Where do we go from here? All told, we are still bullish on stocks, mostly because valuations remain significantly below historical averages and we expect things to slowly get better. Even after the recent run, P/Es are very digestible. However, leadership may be on the cusp of change.

[But although] consumer demand may improve from today’s weak levels, we believe spending will remain far from stellar. Eventual repayment of today’s deficit spending will yield an effective tax on future GDP for years to come. We’d put decent odds on roaring inflation a few years hence.

As the math of quarterly earnings (or lack thereof) approaches, appetite from graveyard diggers for financials and industrials will likely be tempered. However, profitable smaller growth stocks, which also experienced a sharp compression in P/E multiples last year, will be ideally positioned. The environment is right for high-growth small caps to outperform the broader market.

American Science and Engineering (Nasdaq: ASEI) develops, manufactures, markets, and sells X-ray inspection and other inspection solutions for homeland security and other targeted markets. The company manufactures sophisticated X-ray inspection products that can be used to inspect parcels, baggage, vehicles, pallets, cargo containers, and people.

ASEI’s products are used to help combat terrorism, trade fraud, drug trafficking, weapons smuggling, and illegal immigration. They are also used for military force protection and general facility security.

The company’s X-ray imaging products utilize several technologies including traditional transmission X-ray technology, proprietary Z Backscatter technology, Shaped Energy Technology, and Radioactive Threat Detection (RTD).

In the company’s latest reported third quarter, sales increased approximately 53% to $65.3 million, while ASEI reported earnings per share of $1.13 in the latest reported third quarter versus 43 cents in the same quarter of last year. (The stock closed above $56 Friday—Editor.)

Subscribe to The Oberweis Report here…


More Articles from Jim Oberweis
MoneyShow.com members Login here to comment on this article.
Enter your comments in the area provided below and press the submit button.
Please be courteous and do not use abusive language. Comments are limited to 2,000 characters.
Submit Comment Anonymously
 E-mail me when new comments are posted on this article. (Max. one e-mail/day)
Screen Name:
TOP PROS' TOP PICKS
Jim Oberweis CFA

Learn About the Expert

Powerful Tools:


DAILY Investing ALERT

Receive expert stock, fund and ETF picks from top editors and money managers from around the world—FREE!









WEBCAST QUICK LINKS
 
 
LIVE from The Traders Expo New York 2010
 
NOW AVAILABLE from The World MoneyShow Orlando 2010
 
 

Video of the Day 

An Artificial Recovery

Fidelity Investments' Bruce Johnstone says he doubts whether the economic recovery... (4:14)

Related Videos 

S&P's 2010 Earnings Forecast

Oil Sands Stocks to Watch

Where Should a 40-Year-Old Invest?

A Unique Way to Look at Banks


Investing E-Letters

Expert commentary, stock, fund, and ETF picks, and the newest video interviews from leading experts.
Sign Up Now!

Our Next Live Event

The World MoneyShow Vancouver 2010
Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Hyatt Regency Vancouver

Master the Basics

Global Strategy and How to Approach Global Markets 

Global strategist Eoin Treacy helps investors to analyze world markets and...

Sponsored Links
Sanofi-aventis is a global healthcare company engaged...
Spectra Energy Corp. (NYSE:SE) is a North American...
OTC Stox
A premier micro cap, small cap and penny...
More Sponsored Links...
MONEYSHOW.com Logo