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Monday, October 05, 2009
Its Cash Runneth Over

Josh Peters, editor of Morningstar DividendInvestor, and analyst David Rodziewicz say master limited partnerships can be great investments for some people, and they recommend a gas pipeline operator.

For those who can and do own master limited partnerships (MLPs), break out the champagne!

As of this writing, the Alerian MLP Index had returned just shy of 50% thus far in 2009. The combined 2008–09 return for this sector is still down 5.4%, but the back-to-back result is still the best for any broad group of income-oriented equities.

How can MLPs go on generating superior returns year after year? Part of the credit goes to the steady cash flows and resilient returns on capital these predominantly fee-based businesses generate. Compared to other high-yielding areas of the market, distribution cuts have been quite rare.

We have a class of equity investments with constrained demand—their tax characteristics are impractical for mutual funds and other institutional investors, and they shouldn’t be owned in tax-deferred accounts (a huge portion of the capital Americans hold in the stock market).

At the same time, MLPs don’t pay income taxes. This allows MLPs to generate after-tax returns just as high [as] or higher than other types of businesses can. For taxable money, and where the additional income and total return offered by these partnerships can provide adequate compensation for the additional tax-filing burdens, I think they provide great value.

In our view, [MLP] Energy Transfer Partners (NYSE: ETP) operates one of the best natural gas transportation systems in the industry, with strong growth prospects, generous cash distributions, and good cash-flow growth visibility.

At the heart of Energy Transfer’s operations is the company’s Texas intrastate pipeline system. The scale of the system allows Energy Transfer to offer competitive shipping rates, save on fuel and operating costs, and arbitrage gas pricing across its system. Moreover, significant investment over the past several years in large-diameter pipe to provide takeaway capacity for the Barnett Shale and East Texas gas plays has resulted in staggering cash-flow growth.

We’d like to see Energy Transfer bring its debt/capital down closer to 50%, from 2008’s 61%. But given the company’s liquidity position, leverage, and coverage ratios, we continue to think Energy Transfer is among the healthiest MLPs. Management targets cash-flow coverage for partner distributions at 1.1x, a level we find appropriate.

We project double-digit revenue and earnings growth during the next five years, building off a solid asset base that is the product of acquisitions and internal projects. New equity issues and general-partner incentive payments will dilute the growth rate attributable to Energy Transfer’s high-yielding limited units, but we still see per-unit payouts rising an average of 6.5% annually over the next five years.

Energy Transfer’s combination of high current yield and solid growth indicates annual total return potential in the mid-teens over the next several years. (It closed below $42 Friday—Editor.)

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More Articles from Josh Peters
Comment on this article: Its Cash Runneth Over
Monday, October 05, 2009 at 2:34:40 PM    by Anonymous
i continue to be confused on the mlp's if we assume the market is going down (just my opinion) wont the mlps go down also, giving us a better buy price? is there any correlation between the s/p and mlp? there sure seems to be in my review of their price history
Tuesday, October 06, 2009 at 8:47:44 PM    by ferbo
Why is it that MLP´s "shouldn’t be owned in tax-deferred accounts" ?
Friday, October 09, 2009 at 6:22:43 PM    by IRA & tax def account
You lose the tax shelter and if you generate greater than $1,000 you will cause the custodian to have to file the K-1 and they will likley pass cots onto you but it's fine to hold small position in IRA to avoid tax paper work...you can buy ETF that will do K-1 but you lose tax benefit shelter and get 1099-div .....lots to consider owning a few MLPs say like 4 or 5 thousand in IRA is no problme.
Tuesday, October 13, 2009 at 2:30:04 AM    by Anonymous
Would that be $1,000.00 total or 1K per MLP?
Friday, October 16, 2009 at 1:53:07 PM    by Del Ojo Zafado
It is only the Unrelated Taxable Business Income that shows up in Box 20 of the K-! that tax sheltered investors have to be concerned about. That total for all you IRA 401-ks should not exceed the $1000. Best to keep these MLPs to a minimumin tax sheltered accounts. The GOD NEWS is that you can still participate in this great asset class with ETNs like AMJ and CEFs like MTP and KYE. Unfortunately a lot of the discounts to NAV that used to be available in these have evaporated. In MLP FUND investments we become somewhat immune to the swings in some of the E&P producers as while they are in there the funds consist overwhelmingly of mostly toll takers. KYE with the largest premium for the best total return. While these investments are biased by Oil and Gas prices as toll takers they can continue their payouts even when oil drops. Of course if Aubrey McClenon gets another Margin call as we saw last year, then it dos not mater what the assets are they all have to be sold to raise cash to meet margin. Another couple decent alternatives to the CEfs are ENY with the hard currency leverage, now getting richly valued but perhaps on a Loonie retreat back below 90 and oil re tracing to below $65 a buy. the distribution is only about 4.5%. the other is the LNG infrastructure and international power plant operator's convt preferred AES-PC. Priced below par and +8% distribution.
Thursday, October 29, 2009 at 2:14:50 AM    by Anonymous
Thanks DEL
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Thanks DEL Anonymous
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