| VIDEOS from Louis Navellier |
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Louis Navellier, editor of Blue Chip
Growth, explains why he returns to an old favorite that’s firing on all
cylinders.
I had been sour on Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) for the last year or so because technology in general
had fallen out of favor during the recession. On top of that, the market was
overly concerned with the health of chief executive officer Steve Jobs. Lastly,
I was not that impressed with Apple's previous quarterly earnings in late 2008
and early 2009.
However, since then, iPhone sales have accelerated and Apple's earnings
momentum increased with its most recent quarterly earnings announcement. Apple
reported a 46% increase in its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings thanks to strong
sales of iPhones, Mac computers, and iPods. AAPL earned $1.67 billion, or $1.82
a share, on revenue of $9.87 billion.
During the same period a year ago, Apple earned $1.14 billion, or $1.26 a
share on $7.9 billion in sales. Apple's results topped forecasts of $1.42 a
share on revenue of $9.2 billion with a stunning 28% earnings surprise and a 25%
sales surprise!
It's easy to see why Apple is leading the tech revolution. The company's iPod
and iTunes lead the digital music industry, and the iPhone is one of the hottest
smart phones out there. AAPL also hasn't forgotten its personal computing roots
and has cut into the dominance of Windows with its OS X operating system and
fleet of Mac computers.
Sales of the iPhone have accelerated recently, so I expect Apple's earnings
to gain momentum. Additionally, if Apple upgraded its laptops with solid-state
drives and other weight-saving tricks, it would gain even greater market share.
A larger MacBook Air with 15-inch or 17-inch screens would be a red-hot item if
consumer sentiment improves over the next several months.
Apple's most encouraging trait of all is its international appeal. Due to new
contracts and a booming Asian market for smart phones, Apple could add 20.3
million additional iPhone shipments by 2011. That's a huge boost to the bottom
line.
In the interim, it appears that the market is no longer on pins and needles
over the health of CEO Steve Jobs. Also, the analyst community remains impressed
with the iPhone's growing market dominance, and institutional buying pressure is
really gathering behind shares.
Recently, a UBS analyst upgraded Apple to "Buy" from "Neutral" and raised his
target price on the shares to $265 from $170. (It closed below $204
Friday—Editor.) As exclusive contracts expire and emerging Asian markets are
conquered, Apple could enter one of the most profitable periods in its history
very soon.
In the past three months, the analyst community has revised its consensus
earnings estimates 8.6% higher for AAPL, which usually precedes future earnings
surprises. Apple has averaged a 13.4% earnings surprise in recent quarters, so I
expect a strong trend of earnings surprises from this company for many quarters
to come. The stock is a great buy for the recovery.
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