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Without the right set of rules, and more importantly, the right attitude,
attaining a successful trading career can and will be an uphill struggle from
the very start. The facts don't lie, and anyone interested in gaining a
profitable experience in forex trading needs to accept the facts from the moment
they begin their journey. Statistics suggest that around 90% of traders in the
market today lose, with just a margin of 10% attaining key success on a
consistent basis. Various factors influence these results, and before setting
off on their journey, each and every new trader needs to understand that the
thorn in the side of many a failed speculator lies in the emotional game.
Market and price movements on a psychological level are due to emotions,
predominantly those of fear and greed. Greed drives prices up in the long run as
we are all happy to hold onto something when the going is good and things are
flying our way. The need to hold on a little longer for a larger gain is easy to
succumb to and forces out the emotion of greed, which can often be a slow
burner. On the opposite side of the fence, we have the emotion of fear, which is
ultimately the true origin point of declining prices and market capitulations.
While we are happy to hold on to rising assets in bullish markets, the emotion
of greed turns quickly into one of fear when something threatens to take those
gains away from us.
The impulsive need to sell quickly to contain the losses as best we can takes
over in bearish environments, and the simple fact is that where emotions are
concerned, fear is a far more powerful catalyst than greed. On the most basic
level, these two raw emotions, if any trader allows them into their actions, can
cause the evaporation of an account in the blink of an eye.
Therefore, it should be the primary goal of all traders to do everything in
their power to prevent their emotions from running unchecked in the markets.
There are many ways to combat emotions, including the use of stop loss orders to
contain and control loss and working consistently from a well-structured trading
plan. However, when things are moving rapidly on a price chart, even the
best-laid plans can be forgotten. In an effort to keep my students on track with
their trading during the ongoing training program or when I am teaching in
class, I employ a simple technique to combat their impulsion to commit the two
biggest mistakes that consistently losing traders make time and time again.
These are: 1. To buy after a period of buying or sell after a period of
selling 2. To buy in a price area where supply is objectively greater than
demand or to sell in an area where demand is objectively greater than supply
If you find yourself regularly on the wrong side of the market, it is very
likely that you have made one or both of the above errors. It can be very
tempting to click the buy button on your trading platform when you see large
green candles shooting up on the chart as greed takes over and makes you think
you have missed the boat, or to find yourself pounding the sell button on the
first sign of big bearish red candles in anticipation of complete market
failure.
Taking this action usually ends in misery, as the price decides to reverse in
the opposite direction very quickly, often making you feel like somebody was
just waiting for you to enter the market and take your hard-earned cash. The
reason most novice traders endure this ongoing frustration is basically due to
the fact that they are basing their trading decisions on emotional signals of
market movement, rather than objective rules of buying low and selling high.
It's a common mistake to make and one, which, thankfully, can be easily
remedied if the right steps are put into place.
One such remedy I suggest to my students is to fight the cause of the problem
firsthand, and this can begin with the charts themselves. Let's take a look at a
recent chart of GBP/USD:
 Click to Enlarge
This is a chart of GBP/USD on a four-hour time frame with the currency pair
in a strong upwards trend and rapidly approaching a key area where supply had
shown itself to be far greater than demand. Do you notice how this strong
approach consisted of large green candles, with very few red ones? When the
novice trader is presented with this typical kind of scenario on a daily basis,
the emotions of greed are a majority of the time leading them into clicking the
buy button on their account. And why wouldn't this be the case? The market is
going up after all, and with the strength we have seen before, it would make
emotional sense to go with the flow.
MORE: See Where GBP/USD Headed Next
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