Charts In Play

Grabbing High Yields Overseas
Specialty: STOCKS
Published: 8/10/2011
By Tom Aspray, Senior Editor, MoneyShow.com
Tickers mentioned: CIG, NGG, TAC, TRP

Despite the market turmoil, these global utility stocks are still trending higher and pay sizable dividends, making them much better alternatives to low-yielding Treasury bonds.

The stock market action on Monday and Tuesday suggests that a panic low may now be in place and that this week’s lows could hold for some time. Even if this is the case, some backing and filling with further wide swings is likely over the next few weeks.

In this environment, and with the prospects of low rates lasting until 2013, I continue to favor high-yielding utility and drug stocks. One of these global utility picks yields over 8%, but let’s first look at the recent market action.

The Fed’s statement on Tuesday’s afternoon added to what was already one of the all-time most volatile days in terms of swings in the S&P futures, as there were five 40-plus-point swings in just one day of trading.

The closing Advance/Decline (A/D) numbers were impressive with 3664 advances versus just 512 declining issues. This caused a sharp reversal in the McClellan Oscillators, which rose from very oversold levels at -440 to just -65.

The A/D lines have turned up but now need to start new uptrends to confirm a significant market low. The S&P 500 could rally further to the 1200-1220 area before we get a decent setback. The S&P futures were down 15 points in early trading Wednesday.

chart
Click to Enlarge

Chart Analysis: TransAlta (TAC) is a $4.6 billion, non-regulated Canadian utility company that has been based in Calgary, Alberta since 1911. It currently yields 5.9% and its short ratio of 23.4 makes it even more attractive. This ratio means that it will take 23.4 days of normal trading volume to cover the large short position in TAC.

  • The weekly chart shows a broad trading range, lines a and b, with resistance at $22.66 and support at $19.64 (this week’s low).
  • There is initial resistance now at $20-$20.40
  • The downtrend in the relative performance, or RS analysis, which goes back to early 2010, line d, has been broken. There is further resistance at line c
  • The weekly on-balance volume (OBV) has turned up and is trying to move back above its weighted moving average (WMA). It is well above its uptrend, line e

TransCanada Corp (TRP) is also located in Calgary but is a much larger ($23.4 billion) gas utility company. The stock closed up 5.7% on Tuesday on volume that was more than four times the three-month average. It currently yields 4.5%.

  • The weekly uptrend, line f, at $37.94 was broken this week with Monday’s low at $37.29
  • The RS line has turned up sharply and shows a solid uptrend, line g
  • The weekly OBV will turn up with a higher weekly close (above $39.31). The daily OBV (not shown) has turned up but is still negative
  • There is first strong resistance at $40.66 and then further resistance in the $41.50-$42 area

NEXT: Two More High-Yielding Global Utility Stocks

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