Trading Ideas of the Day

5 ETFs That Profit from Inflation
Specialty: ETFS
Published: 5/24/2011
By Kevin Grewal
Tickers mentioned: TIP, CPI, DBA, USO, GLD

Fears about upcoming inflation continue to be widespread, and these five ETFs are designed to profit even if inflation does prevail in the months ahead.

As the US government has resorted to excessive spending measures to keep the economy from completely crumbling, many investors believe that inflation is inevitable and likely to prevail in the near-term future.

Current economic data suggest that inflation is relatively tame, but prices are on the rise. In April, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3.2% from a year earlier, marking the fourth straight month of rising prices.

Furthermore, these increases in prices had already emerged in the retail sector, as rising prices of cotton, wheat, sugar, crude oil, and other raw materials have forced companies like Starbucks (SBUX), McDonald's (MCD), and Levi Strauss to raise prices and pass the impact through to the consumer.

Another indicator that inflation is likely to prevail is the recent jump in the breakeven rate of five-year Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPs), which are flirting with three-year highs.

The breakeven rate is the yield difference between TIPs and comparable-maturity Treasuries and a good measure of the outlook for consumer prices over the life of the securities, in this case five years. As this rate increases, the likelihood of rising prices increases.

Lastly, the general perception of inflation expectations appears to be rising at the Federal Reserve. In fact, according to Caroline Salas and Scott Lanman of Bloomberg, expectations for annual consumer price gains have increased by more than 40% since the Fed began its second round of asset purchases in November.

Despite this perception, the Fed continues to implement its stimulus policymaking by keeping short-term interest rates at or near zero, which could also add fuel to the inflationary fire.

At the end of the day, although inflation is not prevailing, signs are starting to emerge. Some ways to protect against inflation include:

1. iShares Trust Barclays TIPS Bond Fund (TIP), which is one of the most popular way to hedge against inflation. TIP is designed to generate a yield which adjusts to the CPI, meaning that as CPI rises, TIP’s yield rises, and vice versa.

2. IndexIQ CPI Inflation Hedged ETF (CPI), which aims to track an index that seeks to generate a rate of return that is above inflation, which is measured by the Consumer Price Index.

3. PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) holds futures contracts in food-based commodities such as corn, wheat, sugar, and soybeans, which could witness price appreciation as inflation looms.

4. US Oil Fund (USO), which is a play on crude oil futures contracts. Historically speaking, crude oil appreciates in value during times of inflation, which would enable USO to reap the benefits.

5. SPDR Gold Trust (GLD); traditionally, gold has been the go-to investment to hedge against inflation, and will likely continue to witness appreciation in inflationary times.

By Kevin Grewal of ETF Tutor

This article first appeared on Minyanville.com, a MoneyShow.com content partner.

TRADESHOW LOCATIONS

Show Logo
San Francisco
 • August 15 – 17, 2013
Free eLetters

Receive all-new market analysis and commentary, timely recommendations, exclusive videos, and much more from hundreds of top experts. Subscribe today!

INVESTING ELETTERS

   More Details

Daily Investing Alert

Weekly Investing eLetter

Hot Off The Tape Weekly Video eLetter

TRADING ELETTERS

   More Details

Daily Trading Alert

Trading Lessons

Trader Talk Podcast

Most Popular

Keyword Image The Week Ahead: Will 2013 Be Another Double-Digit Year?
A test of all-time stock highs looks highly likely next year, but the market's reaction to fiscal...
Large-Cap Winners & Losers
15 Most Overbought S&P 500 Stocks
Rising Sun Redux
Sponsored Links

SAP AG

SAP is the world's leading provider of business software(*), offering applications and services…

SAP AG

SAP is the world's leading provider of business software(*), offering applications and services…

Procter & Gamble Company

P&G serves approximately 4.6 billion people around the world with its brands. The company has…

Petrobras

Petrobras is a publicly traded corporation operating in a integrated manner in the following…