Trading Ideas of the Day

2 Stocks Nearing Highs That Shouldn't Be
Specialty: STOCKS
Published: 9/28/2012
By Greg Harmon
Tickers mentioned: LMT, RTN

Greg Harmon of Dragonfly Capital highlights two defense stocks that seem to be defying logic.

Over the last few weeks Intrade.com has seen the chance for an Obama win in November run up for the mid 50′s to 75%. So with one of his platforms cuts in defense spending, it seems odd that two defense stocks look so attractive. Lockheed Martin (LMT), is trading at near 4 year highs and Raytheon (RTN), near all time highs.

Let’s take a look.

Lockheed Martin (LMT), has been consolidating in a box between 90.50 and 93.50 since mid August. Recently it touched the 50 day Simple Moving Average (SMA) as support, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has held positive ad is rising again.

chart
Click to Enlarge

The kicker is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (MACD) is negative but is starting to improve. Sings are pointing up. it may stop at the top of the box again but a move over 93.50 has a Measured Move higher to 100 and the 3-box reversal Point and Figure chart (PnF) has a price objective much higher at 120. No fear of budget cuts here.

Next: Now let’s look at Raytheon...

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