The best corporate managers are always one step ahead. Salesforce is the second coming of Amazon.com...
The Mental Aspects of Trading (Part 4)
02/28/2008 12:00 am EST
Here is an interesting question: Should you look at a trade logically or psychologically? In other words, should every trade stand on its own merits? Theoretically, yes, but in real life it doesn't always work that way. A trader is likely to manage a position differently depending on whether the previous trade was a winner or a loser.
How does one know when to take profits on a good trade? You must ask yourself first how greedy do you want to be, or how much money do you want to make? And also, does your pattern have a "perceived profit" or objective level? Why is it that we hear successful winning traders complain far more about getting out of good trades too soon than not getting out of bad trades soon enough? There's an old expression: "Profits are like eels, they slip away."
Successful traders are very defensive about their capital. They are far more likely to exit a trade that doesn't work right away than to give it the benefit of the doubt. The best trades work right away!
OK. Realistically, every trader has made a stubborn, big-losing trade. What do you do if you're really caught in a pickle? The first thing is to offer a "prayer to the Gods." This means immediately get rid of half your position-cut down the size. Right off the bat, you are taking action instead of freezing up. You are reducing your risk, and you have shifted the psychological balance to a win-win situation. If the market turns around, you still have part of your position on. If it continues against you, your loss will be more manageable. Usually, you will find that you wished you exited the whole position on the first order, but not everyone is able to do this.
At an annual market technician's conference, a famous trader was speaking, and someone in the audience asked him what he did when he had terrible losing trades. He replied that when his stomach began to hurt, he'd "puke them at the lows along with everyone else." The point is, everyone makes mistakes but sooner or later you're going to have to exit that nasty losing position.
"Feel good" trades help get one back in the game. It's nice to start the day with a winning scalp. It tends to give you more breathing room on the next trade. The day's psychology is shifted in your favor right away. This is also why it's so important to get rid of losing trades the day before, so you don't have to deal with them first thing the next morning. This is usually when the choice opportunity is, and you want to be ready to take advantage of it.
A small, profitable scalp is the easiest trade to make. The whole secret is to get in and get out of the market as quickly as possible. Enter in the direction of the market's last thrust or impulse. The shorter the period of time you are in the marketplace, the easier it is to make a winning trade. Of course, this strategy of making a small scalp is not substantial enough to make a living, but remember the object is to start the day out on the right foot.
|Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3|
by Linda Bradford Raschke, LBRGroup.com
Now about new highs being celebrated, amidst deterioration of a slew of internals: This suggests nei...
In part 1 of our commentary, we discussed the current Fundamental Gravity of our “Slowing Drag...
Some analysts are making the case that it’s time to look outside the U.S. at stocks in non-U.S...