How to Find Index Yields and More
07/24/2013 11:00 am EST
While the yield of the S&P/TSX Composite index is not widely disseminated, John Heinzl of Global Investor is ready to tell you—for free—what the composite's yield is currently, plus so much more.
The S&P/TSX composite's yield is currently about 3.1%. This number, which I got from my Bloomberg terminal, is based on dividends paid by index constituents over the past 12 months.
Index yields bounce around just like the yields of stocks. Over the past three years, the S&P/TSX's yield has ranged from a high of 3.41% to a low of 2.35%. So, based on yield alone, the index looks reasonably valued.
I also looked up the yields of US indexes. The Dow Jones industrial average yields about 2.37%, and the S&P 500 about 2.04%.
The yields of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are easier to find. But interpreting what the numbers mean is not always straightforward.
Consider the iShares S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index Fund (XIC), which is designed to replicate Canada's benchmark index, net of expenses.
If you visit the iShares Canada Web site and enter XIC in the search box, the overview page lists the ETF's distribution yield as 3.31% (as of last Friday.) However, this number is misleading because it assumes the ETF's most recent quarterly distribution will stay the same for the rest of the year, which isn't necessarily the case. In fact, XIC's distribution varies from quarter to quarter, so a particularly large or small payment in the most recent period can distort the annualized yield.
A better measure of XIC's yield, found directly below the distribution yield on the iShares Web site, is the "12-month trailing yield." This number represents the sum of XICs distributions over the previous 12 months divided by the current unit price. Based on this measure, XIC yields more modest 2.73%.
Here's a nifty party trick: If you don't know the yield of an index, you can get a ball park estimate by taking the yield of an ETF that tracks the index and making a minor adjustment to reflect the ETF's expenses.
Continuing with our example, we know that XIC's trailing yield is 2.73%. But we also know that this is net of the fund's annual costs which, based on the management expense ratio (MER) listed on the Web site, are 0.27%. If we add back the MER, we get a yield of 3%, which is close to the 3.1% yield of the S&P/TSX composite reported by Bloomberg.
This method works with other index ETFs as well. For example, many financial Web sites provide the yield for the SPDR Dow Jones industrial average ETF, which is currently about 2.22%. Add the MER of 0.17% and you get 2.39—again, close to the Dow's actual yield of 2.3%.
Be careful when looking up ETF yields, because not all providers calculate them the same way. BMO ETFs, for instance, use the term “portfolio yield.” This is the yield of the individual securities in the fund before expenses, so it overstates the investor's actual yield. What's more, it is a forward-looking measure based on the most recent dividend for each of the fund's holdings (not to be confused with an annualized yield based on the most recent distribution of the fund itself: see XIC's “distribution yield” above.)
There is nothing wrong with using a forward-looking yield—also known as an “indicated yield.” After all, stock yields are reported this way, the assumption being that the most recent dividend will continue for the next four quarters. But it's important to understand that, with ETFs, a forward-looking yield before expenses is going to look a lot better than a trailing yield after expenses, even for two identical ETFs.
Bottom line: When looking at yields of various ETFs, make sure you're comparing apples with apples. The only way to do that is to read the fine print.Read more from John Heizl and Globe Investor here...