Buy Thompson Creek Metals (TC)

12/30/2008 8:05 pm EST


Jim Jubak

Founder and Editor,

Earnings and earnings expectations are up for Thompson Creek because, first, the price of the molybdenum it produces from its Canadian mines has climbed off the floor. As of June 1 the spot price had moved up to $10 a pound. That’s still down 70% for the last 12 months but up 28% for April and May, according to Deutsche Bank. And because, second,  costs are running well below projections. In the first quarter of 2009, cash costs fell to just $5.93 a pound. That was way below the $7.25 to $8.25 a pound the company had earlier told investors to expect for 2009. It doesn’t look like falling costs are a one-time phenomenon either. The company has lowered its cost projections for all of 2009 to $6.25 to $7.25 a pound. (Full disclosure: I own shares of Thompson Creek Metals in my personal portfolio.)

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