My Top 10 Stocks for 2013
MoneyShow's Jim Jubak has set his sights on 3 types of stocks-those riding current trends, those creating their own trends, and a few hated names with potentially big payouts.
My ten best stocks for 2013? The stocks part is simple. It's the 2013 part that's hard.
As in 2012, macroeconomic trends will drive the financial markets in 2013. In 2012, the year and the markets were defined by fear: that China's economy would slow to a hard landing; that the US economy would stall or the US government would let the country default on its debts; or that in the Eurozone, Greece, Spain, or Italy would fall into financial chaos.
When those worries moved to the top of investors' minds, financial markets fell. When those worries receded, financial markets rallied.
Two things should worry you as we head into 2013. First, investors, Wall Street, and economists sound relatively optimistic as 2012 ends and 2013 begins.
Consider a story I spotted just as I was writing this piece: Corporate earnings in China will climb by 10% in 2013, according to Russell Investments, and Goldman Sachs has raised its economic forecast for China for 2013.
Why is this a worry? Because some stocks and some markets are starting the year discounting a hunk of good news, and that lays the foundation for disappointment.
Second, it's likely that the narrative for 2013, like that for 2012, isn't going to unroll in a straight line. We're likely to be disappointed to learn by the end of 2013 that the Eurozone "solution" for Greece doesn't work, and that the US economy just can't seem to build up enough speed to generate gobs of jobs.