Dollar/Yen Pair Ready to Reverse

08/14/2019 6:00 am EST

Focus: FOREX

John Rawlins

President and CEO, QuantLogik LLC

The USDJPY currency pair has been in a steady selloff and appears ready to reverse according to John Rawlins and the QuantCycles Oscillator.

The USD/JPY currency pair has been in a steady decline for the last month. While the US Dollar Index has moved higher against most currencies in the spring and early summer, higher volatility had buoyed the Japanese yen as a safe haven option outperforming other currencies vs. the dollar.

The weakness is the USDJPY has occurred against the long-term trend of the QuantCycles Oscillator, which turned higher in the spring (see chart).

This has pushed the USDJPY near oversold territory.

usdjpy w 

The USDJPY pair has surpassed oversold territory in the daily oscillator. This despite a stead uptrend in the oscillator that is expected to continue into September.

usdjpy d

When you drill down to the four-hour chart and there is a clear short-term buying opportunity in the USDJPY pair.


John Rawlins described the value of the QuantCycles Oscillator recently at The Orlando MoneyShow.

The QuantCycles indicator is a technical tool that employs proprietary statistical techniques and complex algorithms to filter multiple cycles from historical data, combines them to obtain cyclical information from price data and then gives a graphical representation of their predictive behavior (center line forecast). Other proprietary frequency techniques are then employed to obtain the cycles embedded in the prices. The upper and lower bands of the oscillator represent a two-standard deviation move from the predictive price band and are indicative of extreme overbought/oversold conditions.

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