With rates and equities out of synch and the USD on the ropes, financial conditions matter more than the cost of money but for the momentum – leaving the 5-30Y flattening and the focus on 10Y TIPS Thursday exciting, Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research Wednesday.
Who are the foreign currency whales and why should small fish traders care? Veteran traders Jeff Wecker and Stephen Nos Biggs Gibson outline four types of whales in today’s Trading Lesson. Look for more Trading Lessons every Friday on MoneyShow.com.
What hasn’t happened is a higher USD and that may be the key for trading the markets today until we get the all-important ISM and Jobs reports later this week, writes Bob Savage of Track Research Tuesday.
Markets are in for a quietly boring day awaiting evidence that Trump is Santa and not Scrooge to buy equities. We’re all watching the USD and wondering if bonds are at a breaking point, equities higher, when will it move back up, asks Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research.
Just maybe the U.S. will grow a lot faster than expected in 2018. The framework is there for a self-feeding virtuous flow of money into America. If you are a long-term U.S. dollar bear, you may want to be a cautious one, writes Jack Crooks of Black Swan Capital Tuesday.
The breakout currency overnight isn’t the euro or British pound but Australian dollar where the 200-day looks ready to roll even if the RBA isn’t or maybe it’s still all about eAUD and the new G10 crypto-club, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research.
The markets are happy and there is no tension even with political worries. That has been the story of 2017 and today is not different. No tension means that the only way to derail this upswing is in a burnout, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research.
The key risk-on and off drivers today are the same – U.S. politics, global growth, other central banks needing to change policy like the US, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research Friday.
Stefanie Kammerman, the Stock Whisperer, to tell you the Whisper of the Week: GLD and SLV in my weekly Thursday video under six minutes and my transcript. And recaps of last week: Facebook, ExxonMobil and UUP and SLV.
As forex reacted to the expected FOMC hike Wednesday, risk/reward into 2018 is about the British pound regaining despite its politics, Brexit confusion and the BOE being behind the inflation curve, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research.
Political news is back driving markets at least until the FOMC today and ECB Thursday. Markets are waiting and the moods for buying more are razor thin, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research.
Tuesday is a day of jitters about central bankers, forex rates in Sweden and UK, Australian bond prices, Korean military tensions and a squeeze up in oil in the UK, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research .
The pound has acted well against the dollar in the midst of Brexit. Friday was a reversal day. I am targeting the 1.2800 level; but on a major sentiment swing, coupled with dollar bullishness, a bigger break would not surprise, writes Jack Crooks of Black Swan Capital.
Today’s focus is in the US auctions, the FOMC later and the mood for risk. The GBP is an example of how all can go right one day and wrong the next and that maybe the lesson as the USD is waiting for something to drive it back, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research.
Given risk-on and risk-off mood swings, the best forex barometer may be the euro as the stops at 1.1764 attract given the 55-day support. USD gains without bigger rate moves are like seeing a ghost – ephemeral and not lasting, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research.
The markets are full of doubt as many see cutting taxes on corporations as a deflationary measure where their ability to lower margins and fight for market share increases. Others see this as a pro-cyclical boost to growth, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research.
Last week saw a significant shift down in emerging market equities, losses in oil despite the OPEC deal to extend production cuts, and gains in bonds in Europe despite better growth views from the data, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research over the weekend.
A Track Research dinner explored the role of rates going up and driving down stocks according to many who expect a correction in equities. Also, a healthy debate about inflation risks. The role of tax reform was mixed, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research Wednesday.
As long as we hold over the 91.70 region in the US Dollar Index, many may wind up quite shocked with the potential rally the DXY seems to be telegraphing it wants to set up over the coming weeks, writes Avi Gilburt, technical analyst and author of ElliottWaveTrader.net.
November has been a choppy month for news and dead calm for markets – with the usual geopolitical issues clouding the bigger picture of global coordinated growth with low rates and lower volatility across most markets, writes Bob Savage, CEO of Track Research Wednesday.