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Why It’s Critical to Know the Difference Between a Secular Bear and a Cyclical Bear Market
Released on Tuesday, March 16, 2021•MARKETS
The Dow Jones 30 Industrials composite has experienced eight secular bear markets, which each had minimum lifespans of eight years since 1802. This includes the secular bear which began in 1929 and lasted until 1949. There has been an aggregate of more than 100 cyclical bear markets during the eight secular bull markets which have occurred since 1815. The last cyclical bear which began in February 2020 had a duration of nine months. The presentation is timely since Michael Markowski's algorithm has indicated that first secular bear market since 2000 has begun or will soon begin. This presentation will cover why investing strategies which are utilized during a secular bull do not work during a secular bear. The investing strategies which work best during a secular bear will also be covered.
After being named by Fortune Magazine as one its 50 Greatest investors in 2003, Michael Markowski utilized one of his algorithms to predict the collapses of the US' five largest brokers including Lehman, Bear Stearns, and Merrill Lynch in September 2007. He also predicted the Q4 2018 correction and numerous bottoms including the March 2020 exact bottom. Mr. Markowski, who has been in capital markets since 1977, is the director of strategies for AlphaTack.com whose focus is to grow assets against the wind. He is also the director of research for Dynasty Wealth Investing.
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