The focus for risk isn’t the U.S. dollar (USD/JPY) (though JPY grabs the headlines) but euro/J...
A Full Trading Plan in Four Hours
10/23/2013 9:00 am EST
Trading doesn’t mean you have to look at charts and your computer screen all day; you can implement a well-conceived trading plan using only four hours a week, says James Stanley of DailyFX.com.
All of the sudden, the world has gotten very small; and life is moving faster than ever before. The Internet presents a lot of benefits to the human species; but time management is not one of them. As competition for page views, viewer numbers, and attendance continues to heat up, very little in this life emphasis a slow and steady approach.
But to the trader, in many cases, that is the best way to go about speculation in markets: slow, steady, and consistent.
But being there as a trader, and getting there as a new speculator are completely different markets. In this article, we’re going to outline a complete trading plan that will take less than four hours of a trader’s time each week. And further, this is an approach that can be focused on longer-term moves, and swings.
If you have a day job, or any other pre-existing commitments that limits your time on charts, this is an approach that can offer quite a few benefits.
The Center of the Approach
The four-hour chart plays a special role in the FX market.
Most equity markets are open between eight and nine hours each day, and as such, the four-hour chart might take on less importance. After all, a four-hour chart just shows two bars for each trading session, so traders might as well just look at the daily chart.
But in the forex market, the four-hour time frame takes on special importance. The market never closes, and traders are literally trading the world. The four-hour candle represents half of each geographic trading session. Each of these sessions can take on markedly different tones, and that is where traders can look for potential opportunities.
In the FX Market, traders are truly ‘trading the world’
Traders can use the price movements and gyrations on these four-hour charts to analyze markets, and find potential pockets of opportunity.
Watch for the close of each four-hour candle that you can. Using the New York close to define ‘financial time’ means that we’re seeing candles close at 5, 9, and 1 AM and PM (based on ET). If you’re using Central Time, that’s 4, 8, and 12 AM/PM while Pacific Time is 2, 6, and 10 AM/PM.
If you’re busy at the time, mobile applications can generally offer you what you need to perform the analysis at the close of each of these candles.
Traders can then take a ten-minute block of time upon the close of each of these four-hour candles to look for potential trade setups, while also using this as an opportunity to manage risk.
NEXT PAGE: Price Action Locates the Strongest Trends|pagebreak|
If the trader is awake for four of the six four-hour candles that form each day that would mean that the trader would need approximately 40 minutes per day to analyze charts. If time permits, an additional 10-15 minutes can be used at or around the daily close.
The total time commitment required is 40-50 minutes each day, for a total of 200-250 minutes per week (240 minutes is 4 hours).
Use price action to locate the strongest trends. Trends in markets can be easily graded and seen with price action…by simply looking for charts to make progressively higher-highs, and higher-lows (in the case of an uptrend), and lower-lows, and lower-highs (for downtrends).
Price action can help traders locate the strongest trends
Higher-highs and higher-lows denote an uptrend per price action. Traders want to look to trade in the direction of these trends; buying uptrends, and selling downtrends. But, is it enough to just buy uptrends or sell downtrends and ‘hope’ that they continue? No. Traders can use price action to appropriate their entries into these positions.
Use price action to buy uptrends cheaply, and sell downtrends expensively.
Once a strong trend has been located, the trader can then look to plot their entry by looking for a ‘trigger’ into the position via price action.
Once again, traders want to look to efficiently buy uptrends when price is cheap, or near support.
Traders can look to buy up-trends after a recent swing low
Traders buying up-trends can wait for a ‘higher’ swing low to form before entering. Traders can look for additional confirmation of the entry by looking to the price action candles that form at or around those swings.
Traders can look for bullish triggers at or around recently printed new lows
Use Stops and Limits to Enforce Favorable Risk-Reward Ratios
We talk about this a lot at DailyFX, and there is a reason for it: It’s important!
One of the main premises of our price action education is that future prices are unpredictable, and as such, there is no such thing as a ‘holy grail’ or ‘can’t lose’ strategy. The number one mistake that forex traders make was found to be sloppy risk-reward ratios.
Traders can trigger positions with a set stop and limit order
By adding a stop and limit, and letting the trade work—the trader eliminates the possibility of making a knee-jerk reaction that they may end up regretting. It also enforces a favorable risk-reward ratio, and puts traders in the most promising spot to avoid the number one mistake that forex traders make.
Since traders are looking at their charts for each four-hour bar, they have built-in trade management for each position that they take on.
Traders can use the close of each four-hour candle as an opportunity to adjust stops (particularly the break-even stop), or to take profits while also looking to trigger new positions.
Traders can lock up gains to maximize trends
Traders can take this a step further by trailing their stop in an effort to lock in gains in the event that the trend gets especially built-in.
By James Stanley, Trading Instructor, DailyFX.com
Related Articles on CURRENCIES
As I talk to traders from all over the world, the same questions keep coming up: What can I do to ma...
Uncertainty drives investment doubts and drags down prices. For risk of deflation, look no further t...
The usual Monday rules apply. The U.S. markets look sleepy with the spring ahead time change leaving...