EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Euro Drops Most in 2 Months

05/19/2015 9:00 am EST

Focus: CURRENCIES


Ilya Spivak, of DailyFX.com, takes a technical look at how the euro declined against the dollar and explains that prices are now wedged too closely between near-term support and resistance levels to justify taking a trade in line with his long-term outlook from a risk/reward perspective.


  • EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.1242, 1.1104, 1.0992
  • Resistance:1.1327, 1.1463, 1.1565

The euro declined against the US dollar as expected after negative RSI divergence hinted at ebbing upside momentum. A daily close below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1242 exposes the 38.2% level at 1.1104. Alternatively, a turn above the 14.6% retracement at 1.1327 opens the door for a challenge of the 38.2% Fib expansion at 1.1463.

Prices are wedged too closely between near-term support and resistance levels to justify taking a trade in line with our long-term outlook from a risk/reward perspective. With that in mind, we will continue to stand aside until a more attractive opportunity presents itself.

chart
Daily Chart—Created Using FXCM Marketscope
Click to Enlarge

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist, DailyFX.com

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