We end our global report with fund favorites. Leonard Goodall eyes Europe. Mark Skousen likes Asia/Australia. Doug Fabian and John Murphy pick Taiwan. Keith Fitz-Gerald seeks income. Richard Lehmann opts for India. And Kevin Kennedy offers an ETF package.
"We believe most investor should have some
foreign holdings in their portfolios, says Leonard Goodall, editor of
No-Load Portfolios. "T.
Rowe Price Europe Fund (PRESX ) invests in a broad representation of the stocks of the
major countries of Western Europe. The fund, which invests mainly in larger blue
chips, is a good one for the conservative investor who wants to include one
comprehensive European fund in a portfolio. Its largest weighting-31%
of assets-
is in the UK, followed by 20% in France.
Vanguard Index European Fund (VEURX ) is a component of
our 'global dollar cost averaging' portfolio. As an index fund, it provides a
broad representation for the economy of the entire European region. Its portfolio
is composed primarily of large caps with a blend of both value and growth
stocks."
"While Wall Street flounders, we are looking
abroad for profits," notes Mark Skousen, editor of Forecasts &
Strategies. "Morgan
Stanley Asia Pacific Fund (APF NYSE) is trading at an 8% discount to Net Asset Value ($15.91), which makes the closed-end fund a
bargain. Half of its portfolio is currently invested in Japanese stocks. The Japanese
market look strong, with the Nikkei Index now well over 14,000. Meanwhile,
Australia is a commodity-based country and is likely to rise further. We
continue to recommend the iShares MSCI Australia Index (EWA ASE), which is currently yielding 3%."
Fund expert Doug Fabian, in his VIP
Investor, has been increasing his
allocation to foreign markets. His portfolio already held a position in
iShares South Africa (EZA ASE) and he recently added a position in iShares
Australia (EWA ASE), and
is now also adding a stake in iShares Taiwan (
EWT ASE). He explains, Australia
is poised to reap enormous benefits from the China boom. Meanwhile, Taiwan has
more upside potential than any other emerging market on Earth. The country's
stock market is flat year-to-date, while comparable economies have seen 20%
increases. But recent political developments in Taiwan have made it a more
attractive place for international capital, and this is your chance to invest
before the rest of the world catches on."
Technical
guru John Murphy in
StockCharts.com, also likes Taiwan. He
explains, "The buying of semiconductor stocks
may account for some of the recent strength in Asian exchange-traded funds.
One of the strongest is iShares Taiwan (EWT ASE). Semis are the biggest part of the Taiwan ETF,
with a chip weighting of 23%. The recent bullish breakout in the Semiconductor
Index could also be signaling better days ahead for Asian markets with a heavy
chip and technology weighting. Its biggest stock holding is Taiwan
Semiconductor, which shows a pattern of higher lows over the last three years.
This increases the odds for a bullish breakout, which in turn could give a big
boost to Asian markets with a heavy chip weighting - and Taiwan in
particular."
"Despite recent weakness in the Far East
funds, we are still impressed with the long-term economic prospects in India"
notes Richard Lehmann in The ETF
Investor. "As a result, we have
recommended a closed-end fund for exposure to this market - the India
Fund ( IFN NYSE). We first recommended
this fund in August, and it has since dropped from $37.58 to its current price
of $34.56. Most of that drop in the India Fund was due to the evaporation of the
premium to net assets. It is now trading with a 4% premium. As such, we have
chosen to re-recommend the India Fund for this month's pick. The fund has had a
yearly distribution of less than 15 cents a share for the past few years, but
last year the distribution increased by a factor of ten, a distribution of
$1.52. This year's distribution is likely to be rich as well. This fund would
fit nicely in a qualified account like an IRA or a 401k, where tax
considerations are not relevant."
In addition to his well-known expertise in
small cap stocks, Kevin Kennedy also publishes the Coolcat ETF
Report, which builds an ongoing
portfolio of exchange-traded funds. He explains, "To compile our model
portfolio, I rank prospective ETF positions by their prior six-month gain. We
hold 10 positions in the portfolio and close out positions if they close the
month below their close of six months ago or if they fall 10% below their
initial purchase price. We rotate into the best performers over the past six
months, which also meet the volatility and liquidity standards described above."
We include this commentary in this special global report because the current
four top ETFs on his buy list are based foreign indices: iShares Brazil (
EWZ ASE); iShares S&P Latin America 40 ( ILF ASE); iShares Mexico ( EWW ASE); and iShares South Korea ( EWY ASE).
