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We believe buyer participation will continue at these levels and ultimately move the market higher as we progress within a secular bull market. Using history as our guide, similar patterns to the breakout we observed in 2013, and the recent pullback in 2016, we see signs of symmetry relative to previous secular bull markets. During the secular bull market that began in the 1980s, the S&P 500 experienced two sharp declines of 26.10% and 11.30% while eventually recovering. Both of these declines proved to be excellent buying opportunities as the market moved higher for nearly two decades.
Other topics we will discuss:
What does this year's election mean to the broader market? The S&P 500 has traded higher 66% of the time during an election year (dating back to 1936).
Are falling crude oil prices good or bad for the U.S.? Over the last several quarters, oil has experienced relentless selling pressure on the back of growing supply and inventory buildup. We look for the relationship of crude oil and the S&P 500 to decouple over the near-to-intermediate term.
Has Gold lost its luster?
Craig Johnson, CFA, CMT is a managing director and chief market technician at Piper Sandler, directing the technical research group. Johnson joined Piper Sandler in 1995 as an analyst in the firm’s private client research. Mr. Johnson frequently shares his technical views on CNBC and other major financial news networks, and his research is often quoted in the financial press. He earned a bachelor’s degree with an emphasis in finance, marketing, insurance, and an MBA degree from Drake University. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst™ and Chartered Market Technician designations and is an active member of the Twin Cities Society of Securities Analysts and co-chapter chair of the Minnesota Chapter Market Technician Association. Johnson is a former president of the CMT Association and currently leads the Technical Analysis Education Foundation (TAEF).