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Why Election Year 2016 Could Be Trouble

Released on Friday, March 4, 2016•MARKETS

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The 4-Year Presidential Election Cycle has proven to be quite different for two-term presidents. In fact, Election Years are the worst. 2015 lagged the historic pattern of big pre-election year gains and 2016 is setting up poorly. Equities are no longer cheap. The Fed is no longer providing excessive liquidity and is on the threshold of raising rates. A strong US dollar, tepid economic conditions, a dangerous geopolitical climate and contentious US election are weighing stocks down.

Jeffrey Hirsch

The Stock Trader's Almanac & Almanac Investor, Editor-in-Chief

Jeffrey A. Hirsch is CEO of Hirsch Holdings, editor-in-chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, and publisher of Almanac Investor at www.stocktradersalmanac.com. Mr. Hirsch is the author of The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles (Wiley, 2012) and Super Boom: Why the Dow Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Profit from It (Wiley, 2011). He worked with founder Yale Hirsch for over twenty years, taking over for him in 2001. A 35-year Wall Street veteran, he appears on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business, and many other financial media outlets. Now in its 57th year, the Stock Trader’s Almanac has been published every year since 1968.