The country now has more than 121,000 convenience stores that sell motor fuels; but internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles aren’t the only ones on the road today, observes Frank Holmes, CEO and CIO of U.S. Global Investors in Frank Talk.
By one estimate, there are some 26,000 electric vehicle (EV) charging stations open to the public in the U.S. right now, and if President Joe Biden gets his way, we’re going to need a whole lot more. Five hundred thousand more, to be more precise.
President Biden recently set a goal for 50% of all vehicles sold in the U.S. to be “battery electric, plug-in hybrid electric or fuel cell electric” by the end of the decade.
That’s a tall order. Today in the U.S., EV sales make up only 2.4% of all vehicle sales, according to Wards Intelligence. Billions of investment dollars have flowed into EV manufacturers — as much as $28 billion in 2020 alone — and many billions more will need to be invested to meet Biden’s goal.
It’s not impossible, though. In a joint statement following the president’s announcement, General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) committed to achieving 40% to 50% of annual vehicle sales to be EV by the end of the decade. GM believes it can reach a “zero-emissions, all electric future” by 2035. Most carmakers, in fact, are making similar pledges.
The question investors might have in light of this news is how to position their portfolios. Investing in select carmakers looks attractive — we invest in a few ourselves, including Tesla (TSLA) and Volkswagen (VWAGY) — but my preferred way to get exposure is with the commodity producers supplying the metals and other materials that will be required to ramp up EV production.
The metal that most people think of when it comes to EVs is lithium or copper, but it’s important not to overlook other key metals. According to BloombergNEF, global nickel and aluminum demand could grow as much as 14 times between now and 2030, phosphorus and iron 13 times.
Silver demand should also benefit over the coming years. As the most conductive metal, silver will be increasingly used in nearly all components of next-generation vehicles, including switches, relays, breakers, fuses and more.
How should you participate in the coming electric vehicle boom? Selecting the right companies to invest in can be daunting.
We like Nano One Materials (Toronto: NANO), which develops high-performance cathode materials that are used in highly advanced lithium-ion batteries.
Standard Lithium (SLI), which has projects in Arkansas and California, is up more than 550% over the past 12 months.
For copper exposure, we continue to bet on Ivanhoe Mines (Toronto (IVN), which recently reported that its Kamoa-Kakula concentrator plant in the Democratic Republic of Congo reached commercial production on July 1st.
A possible solution may simply be to invest in an actively managed natural resources fund that tracks a diversified group of companies involved in metals and mining.
Take the S&P Global Natural Resources Index (SPGNRUP), which tracks 90 companies. It’s up nearly 40% over the past 12 months, and the 50-day moving average has remained above the 200-day since last September.
In addition, our Global Resources Fund (PSXFX) has overweighted global renewable energy stocks such as Vestas Wind Systems (VWDRY) and Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy (GCTAY) — companies we believe may also see some benefit from the infrastructure deal
