Jeffrey Hirsch is editor-in-chief of The Stock Trader's Almanac and Almanac Investor, and the author of The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles (Wiley, 2012), along with Super Boom: Why the Dow Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Profit from It (Wiley, 2011). A 30-year Wall Street veteran, he took over from founder, Yale Hirsch, in 2001. Mr. Hirsch regularly appears on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business, and many other financial media outlets.
The Worst Six Months of the year (May-October) for 2022 commences on the heels of the worst start for the market since 1950, points out seasonal timing expert Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of Stock Trader's Almanac.
Our “Best Six Months” switching strategy, which is found in our annual Stock Trader’s Almanac, is basically the flip side of the old “sell in May and Go Away” adage, explains Jeffrey Hirsch, seasonal trading expert and editor of Stock Trader's Almanac.
Since this year is a midterm year, it would not be completely without historical precedent for the market to remain volatile throughout the balance of the first quarter into Q2-Q3 before finally finding firmer footing, notes Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of Stock Trader's Almanac — and a participant in The Interactive MoneyShow Virtual Expo on March 22-24. Register here for free.
February has historically been a rather bland month; since 1950, S&P 500 has averaged a measly 0.001% gain, asserts seasonal timing specialist Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of Stock Trader's Almanac.
Midterm election years continue to be a volatile year for stocks as republicans and democrats vie for control for Congress, especially under new presidents. It's worst for new democratic presidents. Disappointment with the incumbent administration holds the market back through Q2-Q3, creating the next great buying opportunity—the perennial sweet spot of the four-year cycle. Jeff will relay how the market behaves under different political alignments as well his latest market outlook and seasonal investing opportunities in sector ETFs, top-ranked stocks, and the ins and outs of his best & worst Months Switching Strategies.
The news flow on the war, the Fed, oil prices and inflation will drive the daily volatility. So, we will be sticking to our playbook guided by our seasonal, fundamental, technical, monetary, and market psychology disciplines. Tune in for Jeff's latest outlook and prep for the Worst Six Month (AKA Sell in May). Stocks are up against several risk from War, Inflation, the Fed, and the midterm elections, but traders can find solace in the technical support, market internals and load of fiscal stimulus. What are we buying and selling now?
Market turmoil from the Russia-Ukraine war, rising oil prices and inflation fears have investors on edge, but contrary market sentiment readings have become rather over sold, suggesting a bottom is near. Additional comfort comes from the fact VIX not rising to extreme fear levels of 50+ as we saw during the early days of the pandemic, in March 2020. Jeff will discuss how past geopolitical and energy crises provide some context for current events and share his updated outlook and latest picks.
Jeffrey Hirsch will discuss his 2022 Annual Forecast and how his January Indicator Trifecta will solidify his outlook. Find out the major obstacles the market faces from the Fed, Inflation, and the Midterm Elections. Midterm election years are notoriously the worst year of the 4-Year Cycle, and the second year of New Democratic Presidents is even worse. Valuations are high and the market looks toppy, so we are likely to experience more volatility in 2022, but midterm market weakness often sets up solid buying opportunities for the Sweet Spot of the 4-year Cycle. Tune in for Jeffs current outlook and latest stock and ETF picks.
The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles: How to Take Advantage of Time-Proven Market Patterns
For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.