Jeffrey Hirsch is editor-in-chief of The Stock Trader's Almanac and Almanac Investor, and the author of The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles (Wiley, 2012), along with Super Boom: Why the Dow Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Profit from It (Wiley, 2011). A 30-year Wall Street veteran, he took over from founder, Yale Hirsch, in 2001. Mr. Hirsch regularly appears on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business, and many other financial media outlets.
Although the month of September used to open strong, the S&P 500 has declined nine times in the last fifteen years on the first trading day. With fund managers tending to sell underperforming positions ahead of the end of the third quarter, there have also been some nasty selloffs near month-end over the years, explains Jeff Hirsch, editor of The Stock Trader’s Almanac.
Our near-term view is that the market is likely to endure some additional weakness during the balance of the third quarter and possibly into early Q4 before rallying again to finish the year, explains seasonal trading specialist Jeff Hirsch, editor of Stock Trader's Almanac.
AI and the chip stocks are surely conspiring to drive NASDAQ higher during this last leg of NASDAQ’s Best 8 months November-June. Our portfolios are enjoying this AI/Chip-driven rally, but the backdrop over the market remains cautious and still sets up for further sideways action and a likely pullback or correction over the weak summer months, explains Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of The Stock Trader’s Almanac.
April is the final month of the “Best Six Months” for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500. But before the “Worst Months” arrive, April’s solid historical track record could help reignite the market, writes Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of Stock Trader’s Almanac.
Elevated risk has been historically observed during the "Worst Six Months" of the year. Tepid returns during May-October make reducing long exposure and developing a defensive strategy the wise approach. In the Almanac Investor Stock and ETF Portfolios, we do not merely "sell in May and go away." Instead, we take some profits, trim, or outright sell underperforming stock and ETF positions, tighten stop losses, and limit adding new long exposure to positions from sectors that have demonstrated a record of outperforming during the "Worst Months" period.
There are loads of headline risk, inflation, and recession fears out there, as well as geopolitical concerns. But this recent selloff was rather typical seasonal behavior for February, especially the latter half of the month. February is the weakest link in the Best Six Months, November-April, and is the second worst month of the year. Plus, on the heels of the massive rally of the October and December lows, the market sure needed a bit of a respite. After a textbook Stock Trader's Almanac 4-Year Cycle midterm year October bear market bottom the prospects were bullish for 2023 at the outset. Now that the market has hit Jeff's Bullish January Indicator Trifecta his 2023 Forecast Best Case Scenario is in play. Join Jeff for his updated outlook on the Sweet Spot of the 4-year cycle and his latest sector ETF trades and undervalued under-the-radar stock picks.
After a difficult 2022 for the markets, many stocks are finding their footing. With valuations more reasonable and the prospects for a better 2023 rising, where should you turn as an investor for the best bargains and the greatest profit potential? Find out in this compelling panel featuring some of the best stock pickers on and off Wall Street.
Get the lowdown on the latest Canadian listed ETFs focused on disruptive innovation, all-in-one diversified low-cost asset mixes, covered calls, and fixed income from, TD Asset Management, BMO ETFs & Horizons ETFs. Join this lively discussion with Jeff Hirsch and Jon Needham, Alfred Lee, and Emerson Baker where they will spend most of the time answering your questions.
The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles: How to Take Advantage of Time-Proven Market Patterns
For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.