INCOME, MARKETS, STRATEGIES
Tim Melvin
Editor,
The 20% Letter
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About Tim
Tim Melvin is a 30-year plus veteran of financial markets. He is also the editor of The 20% Letter. Mr. Melvin uses rigorous quantitative analysis based on the principles used in deep value and private equity styles of investing to help investors compound their wealth using strategies designed to maximize profits and minimize risk. He uses in-depth research efforts to uncover special situation opportunities that can profit regardless of market direction. Mr. Melvin has also developed models for building alternative income portfolio that can help individual investors uses income producing portfolios previously available only to individuals. He believes that individuals have powerful advantages over institutions but are not taught how to use them. Mr. Melvin wants to be the one who helps individual investors stop taking entirely too much risk for too little return.
Tim's Articles
Investors rarely get a chance to buy a dominant franchise at a price that assumes the business is headed for long-term trouble. That is exactly the situation with Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (ARE) moving into 2026, writes Tim Melvin, editor of The Flagship Report.
Starwood Property Trust Inc. (STWD) has earned its place as my conservative pick for 2026 because it does something very few mortgage REITs manage to do year after year. It survives every credit cycle with its dividend intact and its book value reasonably stable, observes Tim Melvin, editor of The Flagship Report.
As a value investor always on the hunt for profitable businesses trading at bargain prices, Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY) has caught my attention. This Irish-based budget airline has built what legendary investor Warren Buffett might call a wide and sustainable moat in the European aviation market, notes Tim Melvin, editor of the Melvin Real Income Report.
Nomura Holdings Inc. (NMR), established in 1925, is Japan's largest investment bank. Think of it as Japan's equivalent to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) or Morgan Stanley (MS), but with a distinctive Eastern approach to banking and investment, observes Tim Melvin, editor of the Melvin Real Income Report.
Tim's Videos
Banks are currently trading at about a 50% PE multiple of the historical average multiple with a discount to the S&P 500 PE above 50%. Ever wonder why your local banks get gobbled up by the big banks? Because scale matters. Banks below $1 billion in assets are starting to feel a sense of emergency as margins are thin and competition is intense. They need to find a profitable niche that allows for high returns in equity and assets or sell their bank. Buying smaller banks and taking out costs (as much as 30% or more) and raising the ROA on acquired assets is still the best way to grow EPS for bank executives worried about how they'll grow. Shareholders in these small banks - that's us - often see big profits when takeovers are announced. Thanks to Covid and inflation, there is pent-up M&A demand on the part of both sellers and buyers. In this presentation, Tim Melvin will show you his three rules for evaluating small banks as potential takeover targets, his strategy, and even a few names and tickers to consider adding to your portfolio.